Demographic factors associated with the shift include rates of college attendance, socio-economic status, race, and ethnicity
The Commonwealth of Massachusetts remained reliably blue in the 2024 presidential election with Kamala Harris taking 61% of the vote. However, Massachusetts has seen increase in Donald Trump’s vote share going from approximately 32% of the vote in 2016 and 2020 to 36% in 2024.
The statewide shift has not been uniform with some areas moving towards Trump while other areas became even more Democratic. To better understand these shift we use statistical analysis of demographic factors to better understand which factors are associated with the shifts.
We will use Massachusetts State Representative districts as the unit to measure the vote shift and demographic factors. The advantage of using State Rep. districts is that they are approximately the same size in terms of population (currently about 44,000 people), and they are created with the guidance of the Voting Rights Act (VRA) with the goal of not breaking up voting blocks along the lines of race and minority language groups, resulting in variations that provide good contrasts for our statistical analysis. (There are more details on redistricting and district formation in the Mass. Numbers deep-dive on State Senate redistricting.)
It is important to emphasize that we are examining voting behavior shifts rather than district partisanship. All of the districts with the largest shifts towards Trump are majority Democratic districts. The district with the largest shift towards Trump, the Tenth Hampden District in Springfield, remains remarkably Democratic with a Partisan Voter Index (PVI, an average of the last two presidential elections compared to the U.S. as a whole) of D+24, even after an eight point Republican shift.
The districts with the largest shifts towards Trump are:
| District | Cities/Towns | PVI | Representative | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenth Hampden | Springfield | D+24 | Carlos Gonzalez (D-Springfield) | R+8 |
| Fourth Essex | Lawrence, Methuen | D+12 | Estela A. Reyes (D-Lawrence) | R+7 |
| Sixteenth Essex | Lawrence, Methuen | D+11 | Francisco E. Paulino (D-Methuen) | R+7 |
| Eleventh Bristol | New Bedford | D+10 | Christopher Hendricks (D-New Bedford) | R+7 |
| Seventh Bristol | Fall River | D+1 | Alan Silvia (D-Fall River) | R+7 |
| Seventeenth Essex | Andover, Lawrence | D+17 | Frank A. Moran (D-Lawrence) | R+6 |
The districts with the largest shifts away from Trump and towards Democratic candidates are:
| District | Cities/Towns | PVI | Representative | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth Barnstable | Chatham, Eastham, Harwich, Orleans, Provincetown, Truro, Wellfleet | D+19 | Hadley Luddy (D-Orleans) | D+3 |
| Second Middlesex | Chelmsford, Littleton, Westford | D+17 | James Arciero (D-Westford) | D+3 |
| Fourteenth Essex | Amesbury, Boxford, Groveland, North Andover, West Newbury | D+10 | Adrianne Pusateri Ramos (D-North Andover) | D+3 |
| First Middlesex | Ashby, Dunstable, Groton, Lunenburg, Pepperell, Townsend | D+5 | Margaret R. Scarsdale (D-Pepperell) | D+3 |
| Third Barnstable | Bourne, Falmouth, Mashpee | D+9 | David T. Vieira (R-Falmouth) | D+3 |
| Thirty-Second Middlesex | Malden, Melrose, Wakefield | D+20 | Kate Lipper-Garabedian (D-Melrose) | D+3 |
While every one of these districts is Democratically leaning, these shifts points towards warning signs for down-ballot Democrats in swingier districts like the Third Barnstable that already has a Republican representative in David Viera.
The primary demographic factors associated with shifts toward and away from Trump are:
Figure 1: Factors associated with vote shift. Lines sloping downward indicate shifts are towards Trump and upward sloping lines are shifts toward Democrats.
| Vote shifts and demographics by State Rep. district | |||||||||
| district | Representative | PVI Shift | PVI 2024 | PVI 2020 | Some College | Poverty | Hispanic | Portuguese | White |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenth Hampden | Carlos Gonzalez (D-Springfield) | R+8 | D+24 | D+32 | 22% |
42% |
64% |
0% |
16% |
| Fourth Essex | Estela A. Reyes (D-Lawrence) | R+7 | D+12 | D+19 | 27% |
18% |
69% |
1% |
25% |
| Sixteenth Essex | Francisco E. Paulino (D-Methuen) | R+7 | D+11 | D+18 | 31% |
14% |
65% |
0% |
26% |
| Eleventh Bristol | Christopher Hendricks (D-New Bedford) | R+7 | D+10 | D+16 | 24% |
25% |
32% |
19% |
47% |
| Seventh Bristol | Alan Silvia (D-Fall River) | R+7 | D+1 | D+7 | 26% |
21% |
14% |
23% |
65% |
| Seventeenth Essex | Frank A. Moran (D-Lawrence) | R+6 | D+17 | D+23 | 31% |
18% |
66% |
0% |
26% |
| Ninth Hampden | Orlando Ramos (D-Springfield) | R+5 | D+18 | D+23 | 29% |
18% |
53% |
1% |
27% |
| Eleventh Suffolk | Judith A. Garcia (D-Chelsea) | R+5 | D+23 | D+28 | 26% |
21% |
65% |
0% |
22% |
| Thirteenth Bristol | Antonio d. F. Cabral (D-New Bedford) | R+5 | D+10 | D+15 | 29% |
15% |
20% |
23% |
62% |
| Fifth Suffolk | Christopher J. Worrell (D-Boston) | R+4 | D+37 | D+42 | 30% |
25% |
29% |
0% |
8% |
| Eighteenth Middlesex | Tara Thorn Hong (D-Lowell) | R+4 | D+16 | D+20 | 31% |
19% |
17% |
1% |
38% |
| Fifteenth Worcester | Mary S. Keefe (D-Worcester) | R+4 | D+19 | D+23 | 34% |
27% |
36% |
2% |
39% |
| Tenth Essex | Daniel H. Cahill (D-Lynn) | R+4 | D+16 | D+20 | 28% |
12% |
47% |
1% |
32% |
| Eleventh Hampden | Bud L. Williams (D-Springfield) | R+4 | D+26 | D+29 | 30% |
23% |
41% |
0% |
27% |
| Sixth Bristol | Carole A. Fiola (D-Fall River) | R+3 | D+3 | D+6 | 35% |
18% |
11% |
25% |
76% |
| Seventeenth Worcester | David Henry Argosky Leboeuf (D-Worcester) | R+3 | D+11 | D+15 | 34% |
19% |
29% |
0% |
48% |
| Thirteenth Suffolk | Daniel J. Hunt (D-Boston) | R+3 | D+20 | D+23 | 47% |
15% |
15% |
0% |
43% |
| Sixteenth Suffolk | Jessica Ann Giannino (D-Revere) | R+3 | D+5 | D+8 | 36% |
10% |
32% |
1% |
53% |
| Eleventh Essex | Sean Reid (D-Lynn) | R+3 | D+16 | D+19 | 32% |
16% |
41% |
0% |
37% |
| Fifth Hampden | Patricia A. Duffy (D-Holyoke) | R+3 | D+16 | D+19 | 32% |
25% |
52% |
0% |
43% |
| Seventh Suffolk | Chynah Tyler (D-Boston) | R+3 | D+40 | D+43 | 30% |
33% |
23% |
0% |
27% |
| Sixth Suffolk | Russell E. Holmes (D-Boston) | R+3 | D+39 | D+42 | 34% |
19% |
25% |
0% |
9% |
| Twenty-Eighth Middlesex | Joseph W. Mcgonagle, Jr (D-Everett) | R+3 | D+17 | D+20 | 33% |
13% |
28% |
2% |
39% |
| Sixteenth Worcester | Daniel M. Donahue (D-Worcester) | R+3 | D+13 | D+15 | 36% |
16% |
21% |
1% |
53% |
| Fourth Suffolk | David Biele (D-Boston) | R+2 | D+18 | D+20 | 68% |
10% |
9% |
1% |
77% |
| Sixth Middlesex | Priscila S. Sousa (D-Framingham) | R+2 | D+23 | D+25 | 40% |
14% |
25% |
1% |
44% |
| Ninth Bristol | Christopher M. Markey (D-Dartmouth) | R+2 | D+1 | D+4 | 38% |
8% |
6% |
27% |
83% |
| Eighth Bristol | Steven J. Ouellette (D-Westport) | R+2 | R+4 | R+2 | 39% |
10% |
5% |
23% |
88% |
| Ninth Suffolk | John Francis Moran (D-Boston) | R+2 | D+37 | D+39 | 55% |
25% |
21% |
0% |
44% |
| First Suffolk | Adrian C. Madaro (D-Boston) | R+2 | D+24 | D+25 | 38% |
14% |
55% |
0% |
34% |
| Fourteenth Suffolk | Rob Consalvo (D-Boston) | R+1 | D+30 | D+32 | 46% |
10% |
24% |
0% |
33% |
| Twelfth Suffolk | Brandy Fluker Oakley (D-Boston) | R+1 | D+38 | D+40 | 44% |
16% |
16% |
0% |
17% |
| Eleventh Plymouth | Rita A. Mendes (D-Brockton) | R+1 | D+30 | D+31 | 27% |
15% |
14% |
1% |
19% |
| Fifth Bristol | Justin Thurber (R-Somerset) | R+1 | R+2 | R+1 | 44% |
5% |
3% |
16% |
90% |
| Seventeenth Middlesex | Vanna Howard (D-Lowell) | R+1 | D+14 | D+15 | 38% |
14% |
14% |
5% |
56% |
| Third Worcester | Michael P. Kushmerek (D-Fitchburg) | R+1 | D+8 | D+9 | 37% |
14% |
29% |
1% |
60% |
| Thirty-Third Middlesex | Steven Ultrino (D-Malden) | R+1 | D+22 | D+23 | 44% |
14% |
9% |
0% |
45% |
| Nineteenth Suffolk | Jeffrey Rosario Turco (D-Winthrop) | R+1 | D+11 | D+12 | 41% |
12% |
35% |
0% |
55% |
| Third Suffolk | Aaron M. Michlewitz (D-Boston) | R+1 | D+29 | D+30 | 58% |
18% |
8% |
0% |
63% |
| Eighteenth Suffolk | Michael J. Moran (D-Boston) | R+1 | D+32 | D+33 | 46% |
18% |
11% |
1% |
60% |
| Fifteenth Suffolk | Samantha Monta?o (D-Boston) | R+1 | D+42 | D+42 | 56% |
18% |
25% |
0% |
47% |
| First Norfolk | Bruce J. Ayers (D-Quincy) | R+1 | D+16 | D+17 | 51% |
12% |
6% |
0% |
47% |
| First Berkshire | John P. Barrett, III (D-North Adams) | EVEN | D+17 | D+17 | 43% |
11% |
4% |
0% |
89% |
| Third Bristol | Carol Ann Doherty (D-Taunton) | EVEN | D+5 | D+5 | 38% |
13% |
8% |
8% |
73% |
| Fourteenth Worcester | James J. O'Day (D-West Boylston) | EVEN | D+15 | D+15 | 42% |
17% |
20% |
0% |
59% |
| Twelfth Essex | Thomas P. Walsh (D-Peabody) | EVEN | D+5 | D+5 | 45% |
8% |
13% |
4% |
78% |
| Second Berkshire | Tricia Farley-Bouvier (D-Pittsfield) | EVEN | D+24 | D+24 | 47% |
14% |
8% |
0% |
79% |
| Twenty-Sixth Middlesex | Mike Connolly (D-Cambridge) | EVEN | D+39 | D+39 | 59% |
13% |
12% |
2% |
55% |
| Seventeenth Suffolk | Kevin G. Honan (D-Boston) | EVEN | D+36 | D+36 | 62% |
20% |
11% |
0% |
60% |
| Second Norfolk | Tackey Chan (D-Quincy) | EVEN | D+15 | D+15 | 53% |
10% |
5% |
0% |
59% |
| Eighth Suffolk | Jay D. Livingstone (D-Boston) | EVEN | D+34 | D+34 | 60% |
19% |
9% |
0% |
68% |
| Second Suffolk | Daniel J. Ryan (D-Boston) | EVEN | D+30 | D+30 | 55% |
16% |
12% |
0% |
60% |
| Twelfth Bristol | Norman J. Orrall (R-Lakeville) | EVEN | R+4 | R+4 | 44% |
7% |
3% |
7% |
87% |
| Twelfth Middlesex | Greg Schwartz (D-Newton) | EVEN | D+32 | D+32 | 65% |
4% |
4% |
0% |
71% |
| Sixth Hampden | Michael J. Finn (D-West Springfield) | EVEN | D+1 | D+1 | 44% |
12% |
16% |
1% |
74% |
| Sixth Worcester | John J. Marsi, Jr (R-Dudley) | EVEN | R+2 | R+2 | 36% |
11% |
18% |
1% |
75% |
| Third Essex | Andres X. Vargas (D-Haverhill) | EVEN | D+8 | D+8 | 40% |
14% |
28% |
0% |
63% |
| Tenth Bristol | Mark David Sylvia (D-Fairhaven) | EVEN | D+2 | D+2 | 47% |
6% |
3% |
14% |
90% |
| Tenth Plymouth | Michelle Marie Dubois (D-Brockton) | EVEN | D+22 | D+22 | 30% |
13% |
12% |
1% |
31% |
| Sixteenth Middlesex | Rodney M. Elliott (D-Lowell) | EVEN | D+11 | D+11 | 39% |
13% |
17% |
2% |
59% |
| Eighth Hampden | Shirley B. Arriaga (D-Chicopee) | EVEN | D+4 | D+4 | 37% |
15% |
20% |
1% |
71% |
| Fifth Norfolk | Mark J. Cusack (D-Braintree) | EVEN | D+6 | D+6 | 49% |
5% |
3% |
1% |
70% |
| Thirteenth Worcester | John J. Mahoney, Jr. (D-Worcester) | EVEN | D+18 | D+18 | 45% |
14% |
13% |
0% |
68% |
| Thirty-Fifth Middlesex | Paul J. Donato, Sr. (D-Medford) | EVEN | D+21 | D+21 | 52% |
9% |
9% |
1% |
57% |
| Thirty-Fourth Middlesex | Christine P. Barber (D-Somerville) | EVEN | D+32 | D+32 | 51% |
12% |
11% |
2% |
66% |
| Eleventh Middlesex | Amy Mah Sangiolo (D-Newton) | EVEN | D+33 | D+32 | 57% |
5% |
4% |
0% |
74% |
| Second Franklin | Susannah M. Whipps (U-Athol) | EVEN | D+6 | D+6 | 41% |
12% |
5% |
0% |
90% |
| Tenth Middlesex | John J. Lawn, Jr. (D-Watertown) | EVEN | D+23 | D+23 | 52% |
8% |
13% |
0% |
63% |
| Fourth Middlesex | Danielle W. Gregoire (D-Marlborough) | EVEN | D+15 | D+15 | 45% |
9% |
17% |
1% |
62% |
| Third Norfolk | Ronald Mariano (D-Quincy) | EVEN | D+11 | D+11 | 50% |
8% |
5% |
0% |
69% |
| Twenty-Fifth Middlesex | Marjorie C. Decker (D-Cambridge) | EVEN | D+44 | D+43 | 59% |
13% |
8% |
0% |
60% |
| Third Hampshire | Mindy Domb (D-Amherst) | EVEN | D+36 | D+35 | 30% |
20% |
8% |
0% |
69% |
| Second Plymouth | John Robert Gaskey (R-Carver) | EVEN | R+2 | R+2 | 43% |
6% |
2% |
3% |
86% |
| Fifteenth Norfolk | Tommy Vitolo (D-Brookline) | EVEN | D+39 | D+38 | 62% |
12% |
7% |
1% |
67% |
| Fourth Bristol | Steven S. Howitt (R-Seekonk) | EVEN | R+2 | R+2 | 49% |
4% |
4% |
9% |
91% |
| Seventh Norfolk | Richard Gerard Wells, Jr (D-Milton) | D+1 | D+23 | D+23 | 48% |
7% |
8% |
0% |
52% |
| Third Berkshire | Leigh Susan Davis (D-Great Barrington) | D+1 | D+24 | D+23 | 54% |
8% |
4% |
0% |
91% |
| Tenth Worcester | Brian William Murray (D-Milford) | D+1 | D+7 | D+6 | 44% |
8% |
9% |
3% |
77% |
| Second Worcester | Jonathan D. Zlotnik (D-Gardner) | D+1 | EVEN | R+1 | 44% |
11% |
6% |
1% |
86% |
| First Franklin | Natalie M. Blais (D-Deerfield) | D+1 | D+24 | D+23 | 53% |
11% |
4% |
0% |
89% |
| Tenth Suffolk | William Macgregor (D-Boston) | D+1 | D+25 | D+24 | 64% |
5% |
9% |
1% |
73% |
| Twenty-Seventh Middlesex | Erika Uyterhoeven (D-Somerville) | D+1 | D+40 | D+39 | 65% |
8% |
9% |
2% |
72% |
| Twenty-Ninth Middlesex | Steven C. Owens (D-Watertown) | D+1 | D+35 | D+35 | 65% |
8% |
8% |
0% |
64% |
| Eighth Norfolk | Ted Philips (D-Sharon) | D+1 | D+18 | D+17 | 56% |
4% |
3% |
2% |
72% |
| Seventh Hampden | Aaron L. Saunders (D-Belchertown) | D+1 | D+7 | D+6 | 49% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
86% |
| Sixth Norfolk | William C. Galvin (D-Canton) | D+1 | D+13 | D+12 | 52% |
6% |
5% |
2% |
68% |
| Fourth Norfolk | James Michael Murphy (D-Weymouth) | D+1 | D+8 | D+7 | 52% |
7% |
4% |
1% |
79% |
| Fourth Worcester | Natalie Higgins (D-Leominster) | D+1 | D+6 | D+5 | 45% |
9% |
14% |
1% |
71% |
| Fourteenth Norfolk | Alice Hanlon Peisch (D-Wellesley) | D+1 | D+26 | D+25 | 55% |
5% |
6% |
0% |
73% |
| Seventh Essex | Manny Cruz (D-Salem) | D+1 | D+24 | D+23 | 51% |
14% |
19% |
1% |
69% |
| Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket | Thomas W. Moakley (D-Falmouth) | D+1 | D+24 | D+23 | 58% |
8% |
7% |
2% |
79% |
| Seventh Plymouth | Alyson M. Sullivan-Almeida (R-Abington) | D+1 | EVEN | R+1 | 44% |
5% |
3% |
0% |
88% |
| Eleventh Worcester | Hannah E. Kane (R-Shrewsbury) | D+1 | D+14 | D+12 | 57% |
4% |
5% |
0% |
62% |
| Twelfth Norfolk | John H. Rogers (D-Norwood) | D+1 | D+11 | D+10 | 55% |
7% |
7% |
0% |
76% |
| Third Hampden | Nicholas A. Boldyga (R-Southwick) | D+1 | R+6 | R+7 | 48% |
6% |
5% |
1% |
90% |
| Twelfth Hampden | Angelo J. Puppolo, Jr. (D-Springfield) | D+1 | D+6 | D+5 | 48% |
9% |
18% |
1% |
68% |
| Ninth Essex | Donald H. Wong (R-Saugus) | D+1 | D+3 | D+2 | 48% |
7% |
8% |
1% |
81% |
| Second Bristol | James K. Hawkins (D-Attleboro) | D+1 | D+7 | D+6 | 41% |
10% |
8% |
4% |
81% |
| Eighth Worcester | Michael J. Soter (R-Bellingham) | D+1 | EVEN | R+1 | 47% |
5% |
4% |
1% |
87% |
| Fifteenth Essex | Ryan M. Hamilton (D-Methuen) | D+1 | D+3 | D+1 | 46% |
5% |
18% |
1% |
70% |
| Eighteenth Worcester | Joseph D. Mckenna (R-Sutton) | D+1 | R+4 | R+5 | 46% |
8% |
9% |
1% |
85% |
| First Bristol | Michael Chaisson (R-Foxborough) | D+1 | D+8 | D+6 | 50% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
84% |
| Eighth Plymouth | Dennis C. Gallagher (D-Bridgewater) | D+1 | EVEN | R+1 | 43% |
6% |
3% |
4% |
83% |
| Fifth Plymouth | David F. Decoste (R-Norwell) | D+1 | D+1 | EVEN | 48% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
89% |
| Twelfth Plymouth | Kathleen R. Lanatra (D-Kingston) | D+1 | D+2 | D+1 | 52% |
6% |
3% |
2% |
90% |
| Second Hampden | Brian M. Ashe (D-Longmeadow) | D+1 | D+5 | D+4 | 53% |
6% |
7% |
0% |
84% |
| Eighth Essex | Jennifer Wb Armini (D-Marblehead) | D+1 | D+21 | D+20 | 59% |
7% |
10% |
1% |
81% |
| First Hampden | Todd M. Smola (R-Warren) | D+1 | R+3 | R+4 | 45% |
8% |
4% |
1% |
89% |
| Seventh Middlesex | Jack Patrick Lewis (D-Framingham) | D+1 | D+21 | D+20 | 60% |
5% |
9% |
1% |
69% |
| Thirteenth Essex | Sally P. Kerans (D-Danvers) | D+1 | D+4 | D+3 | 53% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
88% |
| First Hampshire | Lindsay N. Sabadosa (D-Northampton) | D+1 | D+32 | D+31 | 58% |
10% |
7% |
0% |
85% |
| Fourth Hampden | Kelly W. Pease (R-Westfield) | D+1 | EVEN | R+2 | 44% |
8% |
9% |
1% |
83% |
| Ninth Middlesex | Thomas M. Stanley (D-Waltham) | D+1 | D+19 | D+18 | 54% |
8% |
12% |
0% |
66% |
| Fifth Essex | Ann-Margaret Ferrante (D-Gloucester) | D+1 | D+18 | D+16 | 56% |
9% |
3% |
2% |
91% |
| Seventh Worcester | Paul K. Frost (R-Auburn) | D+1 | D+1 | R+1 | 47% |
4% |
4% |
0% |
89% |
| Twenty-Second Middlesex | Marc T. Lombardo (R-Billerica) | D+1 | D+2 | D+1 | 51% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
77% |
| Fifth Worcester | Donald R. Berthiaume, Jr (R-Spencer) | D+1 | R+4 | R+6 | 42% |
9% |
4% |
0% |
91% |
| Fifteenth Middlesex | Michelle Ciccolo (D-Lexington) | D+1 | D+24 | D+23 | 63% |
5% |
3% |
1% |
63% |
| Eleventh Norfolk | Paul McMurtry (D-Dedham) | D+1 | D+15 | D+13 | 55% |
4% |
6% |
0% |
80% |
| Sixth Plymouth | Kenneth Peter Sweezey (R-Pembroke) | D+1 | D+4 | D+2 | 53% |
4% |
2% |
1% |
92% |
| Fifth Middlesex | David Paul Linsky (D-Natick) | D+2 | D+26 | D+24 | 61% |
5% |
4% |
0% |
78% |
| Ninth Plymouth | Bridget M. Plouffe (D-Brockton) | D+2 | D+9 | D+8 | 45% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
69% |
| Thirtieth Middlesex | Richard M. Haggerty (D-Woburn) | D+2 | D+12 | D+10 | 50% |
6% |
6% |
2% |
76% |
| Fourteenth Bristol | Adam J. Scanlon (D-North Attleborough) | D+2 | D+6 | D+5 | 52% |
5% |
3% |
2% |
85% |
| Thirty-First Middlesex | Michael Seamus Day (D-Stoneham) | D+2 | D+15 | D+13 | 56% |
4% |
4% |
1% |
78% |
| First Worcester | Kimberly N. Ferguson (R-Holden) | D+2 | D+4 | D+2 | 53% |
3% |
4% |
0% |
90% |
| Thirty-Sixth Middlesex | Colleen M. Garry (D-Dracut) | D+2 | R+1 | R+3 | 43% |
6% |
8% |
2% |
81% |
| Nineteenth Middlesex | David Allen Robertson (D-Wilmington) | D+2 | D+2 | EVEN | 50% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
87% |
| Thirteenth Middlesex | Carmine Lawrence Gentile (D-Sudbury) | D+2 | D+28 | D+26 | 63% |
3% |
3% |
0% |
80% |
| Tenth Norfolk | Jeffrey N. Roy (D-Franklin) | D+2 | D+11 | D+9 | 54% |
4% |
4% |
0% |
85% |
| Ninth Norfolk | Marcus S. Vaughn (R-Wrentham) | D+2 | D+7 | D+6 | 55% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
85% |
| Twenty-First Middlesex | Kenneth I. Gordon (D-Bedford) | D+2 | D+17 | D+15 | 58% |
5% |
4% |
1% |
72% |
| Twelfth Worcester | Meghan Kilcoyne (D-Clinton) | D+2 | D+8 | D+6 | 54% |
5% |
8% |
2% |
85% |
| Thirteenth Norfolk | Joshua Tarsky (D-Needham) | D+2 | D+25 | D+23 | 61% |
3% |
3% |
0% |
83% |
| Twentieth Middlesex | Bradley H. Jones, Jr (R-North Reading) | D+2 | D+4 | D+2 | 54% |
4% |
3% |
1% |
87% |
| Sixth Essex | Jerald A. Parisella (D-Beverly) | D+2 | D+18 | D+16 | 51% |
10% |
6% |
1% |
85% |
| First Essex | Dawne Frances Shand (D-Newburyport) | D+2 | D+14 | D+12 | 56% |
7% |
3% |
1% |
90% |
| Twenty-Fourth Middlesex | David M. Rogers (D-Cambridge) | D+2 | D+32 | D+30 | 65% |
5% |
5% |
0% |
70% |
| Eighteenth Essex | Tram T. Nguyen (D-Andover) | D+2 | D+11 | D+10 | 58% |
2% |
8% |
1% |
75% |
| Second Barnstable | Kip A. Diggs (D-Barnstable) | D+2 | D+8 | D+6 | 50% |
8% |
7% |
1% |
73% |
| Second Hampshire | Homar Gomez (D-Easthampton) | D+2 | D+18 | D+16 | 53% |
8% |
6% |
1% |
87% |
| Fourteenth Middlesex | Simon Cataldo (D-Concord) | D+2 | D+24 | D+22 | 60% |
4% |
5% |
0% |
75% |
| Third Plymouth | Joan Meschino (D-Hull) | D+2 | D+16 | D+14 | 60% |
3% |
2% |
0% |
93% |
| First Plymouth | Michelle L. Badger (D-Plymouth) | D+2 | D+5 | D+3 | 56% |
4% |
3% |
2% |
91% |
| Ninth Worcester | David Kent Muradian, Jr (R-Grafton) | D+2 | D+7 | D+5 | 50% |
6% |
7% |
1% |
82% |
| Thirty-Seventh Middlesex | Danillo A. Sena (D-Acton) | D+2 | D+22 | D+19 | 56% |
4% |
7% |
0% |
74% |
| Third Middlesex | Kate Hogan (D-Stow) | D+2 | D+18 | D+16 | 55% |
6% |
4% |
3% |
83% |
| First Barnstable | Christopher Richard Flanagan (D-Dennis) | D+2 | D+11 | D+9 | 59% |
8% |
4% |
1% |
89% |
| Fourth Plymouth | Patrick Joseph Kearney (D-Scituate) | D+2 | D+8 | D+6 | 59% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
93% |
| Twenty-Third Middlesex | Sean Garballey (D-Arlington) | D+2 | D+31 | D+29 | 62% |
5% |
5% |
1% |
74% |
| Fifth Barnstable | Steven G. Xiarhos (R-Barnstable) | D+2 | D+3 | D+1 | 58% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
92% |
| Second Essex | Kristin E. Kassner (D-Hamilton) | D+2 | D+11 | D+9 | 59% |
5% |
2% |
0% |
92% |
| Eighth Middlesex | James Arena-DeRosa (D-Holliston) | D+2 | D+19 | D+17 | 59% |
4% |
3% |
0% |
82% |
| Nineteenth Worcester | Kate Donaghue (D-Westborough) | D+2 | D+20 | D+18 | 59% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
71% |
| Thirty-Second Middlesex | Kate Lipper-Garabedian (D-Melrose) | D+3 | D+20 | D+18 | 57% |
5% |
5% |
0% |
79% |
| Third Barnstable | David T. Vieira (R-Falmouth) | D+3 | D+9 | D+6 | 58% |
6% |
2% |
2% |
88% |
| First Middlesex | Margaret R. Scarsdale (D-Pepperell) | D+3 | D+5 | D+2 | 52% |
6% |
4% |
0% |
88% |
| Fourteenth Essex | Adrianne Pusateri Ramos (D-North Andover) | D+3 | D+10 | D+8 | 54% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
85% |
| Second Middlesex | James Arciero (D-Westford) | D+3 | D+17 | D+14 | 56% |
3% |
3% |
0% |
76% |
| Fourth Barnstable | Hadley Luddy (D-Orleans) | D+3 | D+19 | D+16 | 65% |
8% |
2% |
1% |
91% |